Mathew Owili leads the 2027 Kisumu gubernatorial race with 16.6 per cent, followed by Rozaah Buyu at 15.4 per cent and Tom Ojienda at 14 per cent, according to final results of a November poll by Mwelekeo Insights.
Owili secured the highest share of support among the nine options listed in the poll, which recorded 836 valid ballots and no rejected votes.
Buyu came second with 15.4 per cent, trailing Owili by 1.2 percentage points. Ojienda and Ken Obura tied in third position, each recording 14 per cent.
The results place several political figures within a relatively close range as the contest to succeed Kisumu Governor Anyang’ Nyong’o takes shape ahead of the 2027 General Election.
How Kisumu governor aspirants ranked
Former Kisumu Woman Representative Ruth Odinga came fifth with 11.1 per cent, followed by Joshua Oron, who recorded 10.2 per cent.
Former governor Jack Ranguma ranked seventh with 9.4 per cent, while Aduma Owuor came eighth with 7.7 per cent.
The remaining 1.6 per cent went to other candidates whose names were not individually listed in the final rankings.
The results show Owili leading the field, but the difference between the top four contenders remains narrow. Buyu trails the leader by just over one percentage point, while Ojienda and Obura are tied at 14 per cent.
The poll provides a snapshot of public sentiment towards the possible contenders as political activity gradually builds towards the 2027 elections.
What the poll results show
The November 2026 poll attracted 836 voters, with all ballots counted as valid. Mwelekeo Insights published the final rankings under its Kisumu County Governor Poll.
The figures represent the percentage of votes recorded by each candidate in the poll and do not represent the outcome of an election or a formal party nomination.
Mwelekeo Insights describes itself as a research firm specialising in collecting and analysing public sentiment on politics, governance, economic trends, social issues, business and consumer behaviour.
The firm says it uses research methods and technology to track opinions on key national and county issues.
Its Kisumu poll adds to the growing public attention on the 2027 gubernatorial contest, with Owili, Buyu, Ojienda and Obura among the names featuring in the latest rankings.
