Kenya is expected to receive much-needed rainfall from the second week of March, offering relief from the scorching heat and dry conditions, according to the Kenya Meteorological Department.
In its March 2025 weather outlook released on February 28, the department projected near to above-average rainfall in several regions, while some areas will experience below-average rainfall.
Dr. David Gikungu, the Director of Meteorological Services, urged farmers to prepare accordingly and consult agricultural extension officers for guidance.
The forecast indicates that counties including Nairobi, Kiambu, Embu, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Meru, and Tharaka Nithi will start receiving rainfall in about two weeks.
The South-Eastern lowlands—Kitui, Machakos, Makueni, Kajiado, and Taita Taveta—are also expected to experience rainfall within the same period.
Other areas where rains are expected from mid-to-late March include Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Trans Nzoia, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, West Pokot, Nandi, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, and Busia.
“The onset of the long rains season is expected from the second to third week of March, which may be followed by a short dry spell,” Dr. Gikungu said.
However, the coastal region and parts of northeastern Kenya, including Mandera, Marsabit, Isiolo, Wajir, and Garissa, are expected to receive near to below-average rainfall. The rains in these areas will be sporadic and followed by dry spells.
Dr. Gikungu explained that the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a weather pattern that influences rainfall, is expected to be in phase two from mid-March. This could lead to an earlier-than-expected onset of the rainy season in some regions.
At the coast, Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Lamu, and Kwale will experience occasional rainfall between the second and third weeks of March, followed by a dry spell. The rains in these areas are expected to be below the long-term average.
“The onset is expected during the fourth week of March to the first week of April over the South Coast and second to third week of April over the North Coast,” Dr. Gikungu noted.
Residents are advised to stay updated with official weather reports and take necessary precautions as the rainy season approaches.
